Interobserver variability among experienced electrocardiogram readers to diagnose acute thrombotic coronary occlusion in patients with out of hospital cardiac arrest: Impact of metabolic milieu and angiographic culprit

Objectives: We sought to evaluate interobserver concordance among experienced electrocardiogram (ECG) readers in predicting acute thrombotic coronary occlusion (ATCO) in the context of abnormal metabolic milieu (AMM) following resuscitated out of hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA).

Methods: OHCA patients with initial shockable rhythm who underwent invasive coronary angiography (ICA) were included. AMM was defined as one of: pH < 7.1, lactate > 2 mmol/L, serum potassium < 2.8 or >6.0 mEq/L. The initial ECG following ROSC but prior to ICA was adjudicated by 2 experienced readers using classic ST elevation myocardial infarction [STEMI] and expanded criteria and their combination to predict ATCO on ICA.

Results: 152 consecutive patients (mean age 58 years, 76% male) met inclusion criteria. AMM was present in 77%; and 42% had ATCO on ICA. Sensitivity, specificity, PPV, NPV using classic STEMI criteria were 50%, 98%, 94%, 72% (c-statistic 0.74); whereas for combined (STEMI + expanded) criteria they were 69%, 88%, 81%, 79% respectively (c-statistic 0.79). Inter-observer agreement (kappa) was 0.7 for classic STEMI criteria, and 0.66 for combined criteria. Agreement between readers was consistently higher when ATCO was absent and with NMM (kappa 0.78), but lower in AMM (kappa 0.6).

Conclusions: Despite experienced ECG readers, there was only modest overall concordance in predicting ATCO in the context of resuscitated OHCA. Significant interobserver variations were noted dependent on metabolic milieu and angiographic ATCO. These observations fundamentally question the role of the 12-lead ECG as primary triaging tool for early angiography among patients with OHCA.