Usefulness of Adding Pre-procedural Glycemia to the Mehran Score to Enhance Its Ability to Predict Contrast-induced Kidney Injury in Patients Undergoing Percutaneous Coronary Intervention Development and Validation of a Predictive Model

Am J Cardiol. 2021 Sep 15:155:16-22. doi: 10.1016/j.amjcard.2021.06.014. Epub 2021 Jul 17.

Abstract

The Mehran score is the most widely accepted tool for predicting contrast-induced acute kidney injury (CI-AKI), a major complication of percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). Similarly, abnormal fasting pre-procedural glycemia (FPG) represents a modifiable risk factor for CI-AKI, but it is not included in current risk models for CI-AKI prediction. We sought to analyze whether adding FPG to the Mehran score improves its ability to predict CI-AKI following PCI. We analyzed 671 consecutive patients undergoing PCI (age 69 [63,75] years, 23% females), regardless of their diabetic status, to derive a revised Mehran score obtained by including FPG in the original Mehran score (Derivation Cohort). The new risk model (GlyMehr) was externally validated in 673 consecutive patients (Validation Cohort) (age 69 [62,76] years, 21% females). In the Derivation Cohort, both FPG and the original Mehran score predicted CI-AKI (AUC 0.703 and 0.673, respectively). The GlyMehr score showed a better predictive ability when compared with the Mehran score both in the Derivation Cohort (AUC 0.749, 95%CI 0.662 to 0.836; p = 0.0016) and the Validation Cohort (AUC 0.848, 95%CI, 0.792 to 0.903; p = 0.0008). In the overall population (n = 1344), the GlyMehr score confirmed its independent and incremental predictive ability regardless of diabetic status (p ≤0.0034) or unstable/stable coronary syndromes (p ≤0.0272). In conclusion, adding FPG to the Mehran score significantly enhances our ability to predict CI-AKI. The GlyMehr score may contribute to improve the clinical management of patients undergoing PCI by identifying those at high risk of CI-AKI and potentially detecting modifiable risk factors.

Publication types

  • Validation Study

MeSH terms

  • Acute Kidney Injury / blood
  • Acute Kidney Injury / chemically induced*
  • Acute Kidney Injury / epidemiology
  • Aged
  • Biomarkers / blood
  • Blood Glucose / metabolism*
  • Contrast Media / adverse effects
  • Coronary Angiography / adverse effects*
  • Coronary Angiography / methods
  • Coronary Artery Disease / diagnosis
  • Coronary Artery Disease / surgery*
  • Creatinine / blood
  • Female
  • Follow-Up Studies
  • Humans
  • Incidence
  • Italy / epidemiology
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Percutaneous Coronary Intervention / adverse effects*
  • Preoperative Care / methods*
  • Prognosis
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Risk Assessment / methods*
  • Risk Factors

Substances

  • Biomarkers
  • Blood Glucose
  • Contrast Media
  • Creatinine