Mildly Elevated Pulmonary Arterial Pressure Is Associated With a High Risk of Progression to Pulmonary Hypertension and Increased Mortality: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Background Pulmonary hypertension (PH) is defined as a mean pulmonary arterial pressure (PAP) ≥25 mm Hg measured by right heart catheterization. However, the upper limit of a normal mean PAP is 20 mm Hg. There is a gap between the upper limit of normal and the threshold for diagnosing PH. Therefore, we aimed to investigate whether individuals with a mildly elevated PAP, defined as 20 mm Hg < mean PAP <25 mm Hg, are at an increased risk of progression to PH or mortality than those with a normal PAP. Methods and Results We reviewed studies evaluating the risk of progression to PH and/or mortality in individuals with a mildly elevated PAP versus those with a normal PAP. The mean PAP value of each participant was confirmed by right heart catheterization. We reviewed 1213 studies and 8 fulfilled our inclusion criteria. Our results indicated that individuals with a mildly elevated PAP were 1.81 to 2.45 times more likely to progress to PH than individuals with a normal PAP. There was a statistically significant difference in mortality between the mildly elevated PAP and normal PAP groups (hazard ratio, 2.48; 95% CI, 1.69-3.64). We also pooled survival probabilities in each arm to obtain a summary survival curve for each group, and the pooled survival rates in the mildly elevated PAP group were numerically lower than those in the normal PAP group. Conclusions Our study revealed that individuals with a mildly elevated PAP were at an increased risk of progression to PH and mortality than those with a normal PAP.