Original Investigation
Myocardial Fibrosis as a Predictor of Sudden Death in Patients With Coronary Artery Disease

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Abstract

Background

The “gray zone” of myocardial fibrosis (GZF) on cardiovascular magnetic resonance may be a substrate for ventricular arrhythmias (VAs).

Objectives

The purpose of this study was to determine whether GZF predicts sudden cardiac death (SCD) and VAs (ventricular fibrillation or sustained ventricular tachycardia) in patients with coronary artery disease (CAD) and a wide range of left ventricular ejection fractions (LVEFs).

Methods

In this retrospective study of CAD patients, the presence of myocardial fibrosis on visual assessment (MFVA) and GZF mass in patients with MFVA were assessed in relation to SCD and the composite, arrhythmic endpoint of SCD or VAs.

Results

Among 979 patients (mean age [± SD]: 65.8 ± 12.3 years), 29 (2.96%) experienced SCD and 80 (8.17%) met the arrhythmic endpoint over median 5.82 years (interquartile range: 4.1 to 7.3 years). In the whole cohort, MFVA was strongly associated with SCD (hazard ratio: 10.1; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.42 to 1,278.9) and the arrhythmic endpoint (hazard ratio: 28.0; 95% CI: 4.07 to 3,525.4). In competing risks analyses, associations between LVEF <35% and SCD (subdistribution hazard ratio [sHR]: 2.99; 95% CI: 1.42 to 6.31) and the arrhythmic endpoint (sHR: 4.71; 95% CI: 2.97 to 7.47) were weaker. In competing risk analyses of the MFVA subcohort (n = 832), GZF using the 3SD method (GZF3SD) >5.0 g was strongly associated with SCD (sHR: 10.8; 95% CI: 3.74 to 30.9) and the arrhythmic endpoint (sHR: 7.40; 95% CI: 4.29 to 12.8). Associations between LVEF <35% and SCD (sHR: 2.62; 95% CI: 1.24 to 5.52) and the arrhythmic endpoint (sHR: 4.14; 95% CI: 2.61 to 6.57) were weaker.

Conclusions

In CAD patients, MFVA plus quantified GZF3SD mass was more strongly associated with SCD and VAs than LVEF. In selecting patients for implantable cardioverter-defibrillators, assessment of MFVA followed by quantification of GZF3SD mass may be preferable to LVEF.

Key Words

cardiovascular magnetic resonance
gray zone mass
implantable cardioverter-defibrillator
peri-infarct mass
primary prevention
ventricular tachycardia
ventricular fibrillation

Abbreviations and Acronyms

AUC
area under the curve
CAD
coronary artery disease
CMR
cardiovascular magnetic resonance
GZF
gray zone fibrosis
HR
hazard ratio
ICD
implantable cardioverter-defibrillator
MF
myocardial fibrosis
MFVA
myocardial fibrosis present on visual assessment
SCD
sudden cardiac death
VAs
ventricular arrhythmias

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