Left Atrial Structure and Function Predictors of New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation in Patients with Chagas Disease

Background: Atrial fibrillation (AF) carries ominous consequences in patients with Chagas disease. The aim of this study was to determine whether left atrial (LA) volume and function assessed using three-dimensional echocardiographic (3DE) imaging and two-dimensional speckle-tracking echocardiographic deformation analysis of strain (ε) could predict new-onset AF in patients with Chagas disease.

Methods: A total of 392 adult patients with chronic Chagas disease (59% women; mean age, 53 ± 11 years) who underwent echocardiography were consecutively enrolled in this prospective longitudinal study. Echocardiographic evaluation included two-dimensional (2D) Doppler echocardiography, with evaluation of left ventricular systolic and diastolic function, LA size, and LA and left ventricular function on 3DE and ε analyses. Multivariate Cox proportional-hazards regression analysis models adjusting for age, sex, hypertension, presence of a pacemaker, and 2D Doppler echocardiographic parameters were used to test if the variables of interest had independent prognostic value for AF prediction.

Results: Patients with Chagas disease were followed for 5.6 ± 2.7 years. Among these, 139 (35.5%) had the indeterminate form, 224 (57.1%) had the cardiac form, five (1.3%) had the digestive form, and 24 (6.1%) had the cardiodigestive form. The study end point of AF occurred in 45 patients. Total LA emptying fraction (hazard ratio, 0.93; 95% CI, 0.89-0.98; P = .002), passive LA emptying fraction (HR, 0.95; 95% CI, 0.91-0.99; P = .02), and peak negative global LA ε (HR, 1.22; 95% CI, 1.05-1.41; P = .01) were predictors of new-onset AF independent of clinical and 2D Doppler echocardiographic parameters.

Conclusions: LA function assessed on 3DE and ε analyses predicts new-onset AF in patients with Chagas disease independent of clinical and 2D Doppler echocardiographic indexes.