Cost-utility of ticagrelor plus aspirin in diabetic patients with stable coronary artery disease

Aims: Ticagrelor plus aspirin could reduce the risks of major adverse cardiac events in diabetic patients with stable coronary artery disease (SCD), and yet it also increases bleeding risk. This study would compare the cost and effectiveness of aspirin and ticagrelor plus aspirin therapies in diabetic patients with SCD from a US healthcare sector perspective.

Methods and results: A state-transition Markov model was developed to project probabilities of myocardial infarction, ischaemic stroke, bleeding, and death with and without ticagrelor among all diabetic patients with SCD as the overall population, and those with a history of previous percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) as a sub-population. Model inputs were extracted from published sources. Lifetime costs and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) were measured. The clinical benefits and bleeding risk of ticagrelor added to aspirin were translated into additional 0.08 QALYs at incremental costs of $19 580 in the overall population, yielding an incremental cost-utility ratio (ICUR) of $260 032/QALY. In the sub-population with an additional 0.43 QALYs at an incremental cost of $20 189, the ICUR was $46 426/QALY. Two-way sensitivity showed the clinical benefits of ticagrelor plus aspirin was counterbalanced by its risk of major bleeding. One-way sensitivity and probabilistic sensitivity analysis demonstrated that the results were generally robust except the all-cause death reduction.

Conclusion: The results indicated that ticagrelor plus aspirin is likely to be a cost-effective option in the diabetic patients with a history of PCI. Diabetes management can be improved by carefully prescribing ticagrelor to individuals with low risk of bleeding and high risk of ischaemic events.