Stroke Risk Analysis, a System With a High Detection Rate of Atrial Fibrillation in Stroke and Transient Ischemic Attack

Background and Purpose- Stroke Risk Analysis (SRA) comprises an algorithm for automated analysis of ECG monitoring, enabling the detection of paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (pxAF) and identifying patterns indicating a high risk of atrial fibrillation (R_AF). We compared Holter-enabled continuous ECG monitoring in combination with SRA (hSRA) with standard continuous ECG monitoring for pxAF detection in patients with acute ischemic stroke. Also, we sought to identify whether the detection of R_AF patterns during the first cycle (first 2 hours) of hSRA recording was associated with the detection of pxAF during the Stroke Unit stay. Methods- We enrolled 524 consecutive patients admitted in the Stroke Unit with acute ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack with neither history of AF nor AF at admission into a prospective multicentric observational analytic clinical study with intrapatient comparison, who received both continuous ECG monitoring as well as hSRA up to 7 days. Investigators were blinded to hSRA results unless pxAF was detected on SRA. Results- Of the 524 consecutive acute stroke patients (median age, 70.0 years; 60% male; acute ischemic stroke 93%, transient ischemic attack 7%), 462 were eligible and included in the study. Among 462 patients with hSRA available for 66 hours, AF was documented by hSRA in 79 patients (17.1%). From this group, 45 AF cases (9.7%) were confirmed after review by an independent and blinded cardiologist. continuous ECG monitoring detected 21 AF cases (4.3%; P<0.0001). hSRA detected R_AF patterns in 92 patients. 35 out of the 92 R_AF patients showed an episode of AF during the Stroke Unit stay. Predictive values of R_AF patterns within the first cycle of hSRA were: sensitivity 71%, specificity 86%, positive predictive value 38%, and negative predictive value 96%. Conclusions- Automated analysis using SRA technology strongly improves pxAF detection in acute ischemic stroke patients compared with continuous ECG monitoring. The predictive value of a R_AF pattern, as detected by hSRA during the first few hours after admission, deserves further investigation.