Duration of early systolic lengthening: prognostic potential in the general population

Background: When the left ventricle pressure rises during early systole, myocardial fibres with reduced contractility tend to stretch instead of shortening. This interval is known as duration of early systolic lengthening (DESL). We sought to investigate if DESL provides prognostic information on cardiovascular events.

Methods and results: In this prospective study we included 1210 participants from a low-risk general population who underwent speckle tracking echocardiography (men 41%, mean age 56 years, SD 16). Primary endpoints were incident heart failure (HF), myocardial infarction (MI), and cardiovascular death (CVD). We defined DESL as time from onset of Q-wave on the electrocardiogram to peak positive systolic strain. In addition, we assessed the ratio between DESL and duration of cardiac systole, DESLsystole.During median follow-up of 16 years, 90 (7%) developed HF, 50 (4%) MI, and 70 (6%) experienced CVD. Both DESL [hazard ratio (HR) 1.58 95%CI 1.16-2.15, P = 0.004 per 10 ms increase] and DESLsystole (HR 1.74 95%CI 1.24-2.47, P = 0.001 per 1% increase) were predictors of HF. Similarly, DESL (HR 1.40 95%CI 1.09-1.78, P = 0.007 per 10 ms increase) and DESLsystole (HR 1.58 95%CI 1.01-2.49, P = 0.047 per 1% increase) were predictors of MI. No associations were found with CVD. After adjusting for clinical and echocardiographic parameters, the associations remained significant. DESLsystole was superior to systolic echocardiographic parameters for predicting HF (P = 0.012).

Conclusion: DESL and the novel index of DESLsystole provide independent and novel prognostic information on the risk of HF and MI in the general population. Evaluation of DESL should be explored in future echocardiographic studies.