Intensive blood pressure lowering and the risk of new-onset diabetes in patients with hypertension: a post-hoc analysis of the STEP randomized trial

Aims: The strategy of blood pressure intervention in the elderly hypertensive patients (STEP) trial reported the cardiovascular benefit of intensive systolic blood pressure (SBP) control in patients with hypertension. The association between intensive SBP lowering and the risk of new-onset diabetes is unclear. This study aimed to evaluate the effect of intensive SBP lowering on the incidence of new-onset diabetes.

Methods and results: Participants in STEP who had baseline fasting serum glucose (FSG) concentrations <7.0 mmol/L and no history of diabetes or hypoglycaemic medication use were included. The primary outcome was new-onset diabetes defined as the time to first occurrence of FSG concentrations ≥7.0 mmol/L. The secondary outcome was new-onset impaired fasting glucose (FSG: 5.6-6.9 mmol/L) in participants with normoglycemia. A competing risk proportional hazards regression model was used for analysis. The cohort comprised 5601 participants (mean age: 66.1 years) with a mean baseline SBP of 145.9 mmHg. Over a median follow-up of 3.42 years, 273 (9.6%) patients in the intensive SBP group (target, 110 to <130 mmHg) and 262 (9.5%) in the standard SBP group (target, 130 to <150 mmHg) developed diabetes (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.01; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.86-1.20). The adjusted hazard ratio for the secondary outcome was 1.04 (95% CI, 0.91-1.18). The mean highest FSG concentration during the follow-up was 5.82 and 5.84 mmol/L in the intensive and standard groups, respectively.

Conclusion: Intensive SBP lowering is not associated with an altered risk of new-onset diabetes or impaired fasting glucose in hypertensive patients.

Registration: STEP ClinicalTrials.gov, number: NCT03015311.