Elevated fibrosis burden as assessed by MRI predicts cryoballoon ablation failure

Introduction: Late-gadolinium enhancement magnetic resonance (LGE-MRI) imaging is increasingly used in management of atrial fibrillation (AFib) patients. Here, we assess the usefulness of LGE-MRI-based fibrosis quantification to predict arrhythmia recurrence in patients undergoing cryoballoon ablation. Our secondary goal was to compare two widely used fibrosis quantification methods.

Methods: In 102 AF patients undergoing LGE-MRI and cryoballoon ablation (mean age 62 years; 64% male; 59% paroxysmal AFib), atrial fibrosis was quantified using the pixel intensity histogram (PIH) and image intensity ratio (IIR) methods. PIH segmentations were completed by a third-party provider as part of the standard of care at our hospital; Image intensity ratio (IIR) segmentations of the same scans were carried out in our lab using a commercially available software package. Fibrosis burdens and spatial distributions for the two methods were compared. Patients were followed prospectively for recurrent arrhythmia following ablation.

Results: Average PIH fibrosis was 15.6 ± 5.8% of the left atrial (LA) volume. Depending on threshold (IIR_thr ), the average IIR fibrosis (% of LA wall surface area) ranged from 5.0 ± 7.2% (IIR_thr = 1.2) to 37.4 ± 10.9% (IIR_thr = 0.97). An IIR_thr of 1.03 demonstrated the greatest agreement between the methods, but spatial overlap of fibrotic areas delineated by the two methods was modest (Sorenson Dice coefficient: 0.49). Fourty-two patients (41.2%) had recurrent arrhythmia. PIH fibrosis successfully predicted recurrence (HR 1.07; p = .02) over a follow-up period of 362 ± 149 days; regardless of IIR_thr , IIR fibrosis did not predict recurrence.

Conclusions: PIH-based volumetric assessment of atrial fibrosis was modestly predictive of arrhythmia recurrence following cryoballoon ablation in this cohort. IIR-based fibrosis was not predictive of recurrence for any of the IIR_thr values tested, and the overlap in designated areas of fibrosis between the PIH and IIR methods was modest. Caution must therefore be exercised when interpreting LA fibrosis from LGE-MRI, since the values and spatial pattern are methodology-dependent.